José Gutierrez has been granted a funding from the Fédération Wallonie Bruxelles (Incitant - Projets européens). His project, conducted under the supervision of Christian Olsson, is titled ‘Hot Peace: Causal Mechanisms behind the success or failure of peace processes’.
This project aims at exploring critically the interactions between various social dynamics (macro, mezzo, and micro-social) affecting the results of various peace agreements in the post-Cold War scenario, in order to develop an integrated model of the causal mechanisms that lead to the re-mobilisation of insurgents in post-agreement contexts. This model will contribute with novel theoretical and methodological tools for peace-building grounded on actual peace agreement experiences and rich data. The model will build up on the advances in conflict and peace studies of the last decades, aiming at integrating them and testing them on three case-studies where we will conduct field research: Colombia, Northern Ireland and Mali. These three case-studies were chosen on the basis of opportunity (existing networks of researchers and extensive gate-keepers on the ground) and because they represent various degrees of post-agreement violence posing different levels of threats against peace agreements (serious in Colombia and Mali, marginal in Northern Ireland).